IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/uno/wpaper/2003-06.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Reexamining the maturity effect using extensive futures data

Author

Listed:
  • Daal, Elton

    (University of New Orleans)

  • Farhat, Joseph Basheer

    (Hashemite University)

  • Wei, Peihwang P.

    (University of New Orleans)

Abstract

In his seminal article, Samuelson (1965) proposes the maturity effect that volatility of futures prices should increase as futures contract approaches expiration. This study provides new evidence on the maturity effect by examining a more extensive set of futures contracts over longer period than previous studies: 8451 futures contracts drawn from 74 commodities and four International exchanges, (London, Sydney, Tokyo and Winnipeg Futures), in addition to the U.S. markets over the years from 1960 to 2000. Strong support is found for the maturity effect in agricultural and energy commodities, but not for financial futures. Moreover, negative covariance between spot price and net carry cost appears to be able explain the maturity effect fairly well for commodity futures.

Suggested Citation

  • Daal, Elton & Farhat, Joseph Basheer & Wei, Peihwang P., 2003. "Reexamining the maturity effect using extensive futures data," Working Papers 2003-06, University of New Orleans, Department of Economics and Finance.
    • Handle: RePEc:uno:wpaper:2003-06
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://louisdl.louislibraries.org/cgi-bin/showfile.exe?CISOROOT=/EFW&CISOPTR=11
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Futures prices; Volatility; Maturity effect; Samuelson Hypothesis; Futures mark;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • Q14 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Finance

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:uno:wpaper:2003-06. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Janet Murphy Crane (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/deunous.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.