Author
Listed:
- Paola Azar
(Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y de Administración. Instituto de Economía)
- Sandra Rodríguez
(Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y de Administración. Instituto de Economía)
- Claudia Sanguinetti
Abstract
In recent years, the sharp increase in Uruguayan unemployment rates has been accompanied by the perception that the risk of unemployment is unevenly distributed so that some groups are more prone to undergo long periods of unemployment. This research aims to complement the information reflected in the unemployment rate with the one referred to its duration, for the period 1986-1999. First, it studies the so-called "incomplete duration" of unemployment, as reported by the National Statistics Institute. This indicator informs about the job-search time until the information is collected. However, it is important to have an effective indicator to describe the whole unemployment period. For that reason, an estimator to give account of the time the unemployed people should expect before returning to employment is calculated. It is based on the calculation of conditional probability of remaining unemployed proposed by Sider (1985), Baker (1992), Corak and Heisz (1996). The study shows that the average complete unemployment spell reached four months for the whole population, which is a long one, considering the dynamics of economic growth between 1986 and 1999. It also finds differences among demographic groups in terms of their entry to unemployment and their total unemployment spell. Finally, it is established that the increase in the unemployment spell in aggregate terms has not been led by an increase in the incidence of groups typically associated to longer durations (compositional effect), but to an increase in duration for all groups. In short, most of the variation in the total unemployment spell duration has been caused by variations in the aggregate unemployment rate rather than by changes in the individual characteristics of the unemployed people.
Suggested Citation
Paola Azar & Sandra Rodríguez & Claudia Sanguinetti, 2001.
"Análisis de la duración del desempleo en Uruguay (1986 - 1999),"
Documentos de Trabajo (working papers)
01-09, Instituto de EconomÃa - IECON.
Handle:
RePEc:ulr:wpaper:dt-09-01
Download full text from publisher
More about this item
Keywords
;
;
JEL classification:
- J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
- J71 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Labor Discrimination - - - Hiring and Firing
Statistics
Access and download statistics
Corrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ulr:wpaper:dt-09-01. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Lorenza Pérez (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ierauuy.html .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through
the various RePEc services.