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Critères d’endettement public et vieillissement démographique: une approche par l’équilibre général calculable

Author

Listed:
  • Francis Bismans
  • Frédéric Docquier

Abstract

Au moment même où le processus d’intégration monétaire européen se rapproche d’échéances importantes, plusieurs pays se trouvent dans une situation d’endettement préoccupante. La réduction des déficits et de la dette publique est devenue un des principaux objectifs de politique économique et ce, d’autant plus que le Traité de Maastricht retient, parmi les critères de convergence, un ratio Déficit/PNB de 3 % et Dette/PNB de 60%. Un des arguments qui plaident en faveur d’un effort immédiat est l’impact attendu du vieillissement démographique sur le niveau des dépenses sociales. Ce papier étudie ces questions à l’aide d’un modèle calculable à générations imbriquées appliqué à l’économie belge. On montre que le respect du critère des « trois pour cent » n’implique pas nécessairement la baisse du ratio d’endettement. Il apparaît également qu’une politique de taxation modérée, mais continue sur longue période, constitue la formule qui affecte le moins le bien-être et qui minimise les distorsions sur le marché du travail et la croissance.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • Francis Bismans & Frédéric Docquier, 1997. "Critères d’endettement public et vieillissement démographique: une approche par l’équilibre général calculable," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/230714, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    • Handle: RePEc:ulb:ulbeco:2013/230714
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    Cited by:

    1. Francis Bismans & Frédéric Docquier & Claude Jessua, 1996. "Consommation, épargne et accumulation dans la transition démographique," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 47(3), pages 667-676.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus

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