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Determinantes da Inflação Brasileira no Período Recente (2010-2022)

Author

Listed:
  • Edson Roberto Vieira

    (FACE/UFG)

  • Vinícius Alencar Moreira

    (FACE/UFG)

  • Antonio Marcos de Queiroz

    (FACE/UFG)

Abstract

This study investigates the main determinants of Brazilian inflation from January 2010 to December 2022. An autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model was estimated, and a historical contextualization was carried out to examine the dynamics of these determinants during the period studied. The results suggest that the strength and direction of the impacts of the variables in explaining Brazilian inflation have been influenced by adverse factors in the recent period, such as the Covid-19 pandemic and government interference in fuel prices during the Dilma (2011-2015) and Bolsonaro (2018-2022) governments.

Suggested Citation

  • Edson Roberto Vieira & Vinícius Alencar Moreira & Antonio Marcos de Queiroz, 2024. "Determinantes da Inflação Brasileira no Período Recente (2010-2022)," Working papers - Textos para Discussao do Curso de Ciencias Economicas da UFG 103, Curso de Ciencias Economicas da Universidade Federal de Goias - FACE.
    • Handle: RePEc:ufb:wpaper:103
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    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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