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DSGE para Macroeconomia Regional: Uma Aplicação para o Estado de Goiás

Author

Listed:
  • Celso José Costa Junior

    (FACE-UFG)

  • Anderson Mutter Teixeira

    (UEPG)

  • Márcio Francisco da Silva

    (CNI)

Abstract

Objetivo deste artigo foi desenvolver um modelo (DSGE) para estudos dos agregados macroeconômicos regionais. Para tanto, foi desenvolvido um modelo de médio porte para simulações de políticas fiscais para o Estado de Goiás. O modelo incorporou dois mecanismos inovadores: o primeiro foi a incorporação de uma estrutura contemplando o Brasil, o Estado de Goiás e o setor externo; e a introdução de uma ampla desagregação das despesas e das receitas do governo estadual. As simulações mostraram que a desoneração do ICMS produz um efeito neutro na atividade econômica goiana quando realizada apenas neste Estado e um efeito negativo quando é realizada no Resto do país.

Suggested Citation

  • Celso José Costa Junior & Anderson Mutter Teixeira & Márcio Francisco da Silva, 2022. "DSGE para Macroeconomia Regional: Uma Aplicação para o Estado de Goiás," Working papers - Textos para Discussao do Curso de Ciencias Economicas da UFG 097, Curso de Ciencias Economicas da Universidade Federal de Goias - FACE.
    • Handle: RePEc:ufb:wpaper:097
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    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E65 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Studies of Particular Policy Episodes
    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • P25 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Socialist and Transition Economies - - - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics

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