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Keynes´s Approach to Macroeconomic Modelling: a Popperian Reconstruction
[La modelización macroeconómica en el enfoque keynesiano: una reconstrucción popperiana]

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Abstract

We review Keynes´s attempt to deal with the `problem of induction´ since his Treatise on Probability and then argue that Popper´s `solution´ to the former, known as Popper´s evolutionary of knowledge and learning, is compatible with Keynes´s adoption of a conventional theory of knowledge in his later economic writings. We also argue that Keynes´s macro-theory as it appears in both his General Theory and his 1937 QJE paper can be (re)interpreted as an instance of a reformulated version of the `subjectivist´ version of Popper´s `Rationality Principle´ (RPs) according to which agents´ behaviour is appropriate or adequate to the problem-situation as the theorist believes that agents believe the former is. A number of further results follow from the previous arguments.

Suggested Citation

  • Alfonso Palacio Vera, 2015. "Keynes´s Approach to Macroeconomic Modelling: a Popperian Reconstruction [La modelización macroeconómica en el enfoque keynesiano: una reconstrucción popperiana]," Documentos de trabajo de la Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales 15-07, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales.
    • Handle: RePEc:ucm:doctra:15-07
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    Keywords

    Popper; Keynes; Rationality Principle; Macro-models; and Induction.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • A12 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics - - - Relation of Economics to Other Disciplines
    • B41 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Economic Methodology - - - Economic Methodology
    • E03 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Behavioral Macroeconomics
    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory

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