IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/tse/wpaper/22247.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Prediction via the Quantile-Copula Conditional Density Estimator

Author

Listed:
  • Faugeras, Olivier

Abstract

To make a prediction of a response variable from an explanatory one which takes into account features such as multimodality, a nonparametric approach based on an estimate of the conditional density is advocated and considered. In particular, we build point and interval predictors based on the quantile-copula estimator of the conditional density by Faugeras [8]. The consistency of these predictors is proved through a uniform consistency result of the conditional density estimator. Eventually, the practical implementation of these predictors is discussed. A simulation on a real data set illustrates the proposed methods.

Suggested Citation

  • Faugeras, Olivier, 2009. "Prediction via the Quantile-Copula Conditional Density Estimator," TSE Working Papers 09-124, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
  • Handle: RePEc:tse:wpaper:22247
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.tse-fr.eu/sites/default/files/medias/doc/wp/etrie/wp_etrie_124_2009.pdf
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Faugeras, Olivier P., 2009. "A quantile-copula approach to conditional density estimation," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(9), pages 2083-2099, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bulla, Ingo & Chesneau, Christophe & Navarro, Fabien & Mark, Tanya, 2015. "A note on the adaptive estimation of a bi-dimensional density in the case of knowledge of the copula density," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 6-13.
    2. Bessa, Ricardo J. & Miranda, V. & Botterud, A. & Zhou, Z. & Wang, J., 2012. "Time-adaptive quantile-copula for wind power probabilistic forecasting," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 29-39.
    3. Janssen, Paul & Swanepoel, Jan & Veraverbeke, Noël, 2017. "Smooth copula-based estimation of the conditional density function with a single covariate," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 39-48.
    4. Geenens, Gery & Dunn, Richard, 2022. "A nonparametric copula approach to conditional Value-at-Risk," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 19-37.
    5. Gery Geenens & Arthur Charpentier & Davy Paindaveine, 2014. "Probit Transformation for Nonparametric Kernel Estimation of the Copula Density," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2014-23, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    6. Otneim, Håkon & Tjøstheim, Dag, 2016. "Non-parametric estimation of conditional densities: A new method," Discussion Papers 2016/22, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
    7. Gery Geenens & Richard Dunn, 2017. "A nonparametric copula approach to conditional Value-at-Risk," Papers 1712.05527, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2019.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    nonparametric estimation; modal regressor; level-set;
    All these keywords.

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:tse:wpaper:22247. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: the person in charge (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/tsetofr.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.