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Comprendre la dynamique salariale par temps de crise

Listed author(s):
  • Christophe Blot

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

  • Hervé Péléraux

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

  • Raul Sampognaro

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

  • Sébastien Villemot

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

Depuis le déclenchement de la crise financière en 2007, le marché du travail s’est fortement ajusté dans les principales économies avancées. En particulier, la zone euro compte encore 6 millions de chômeurs supplémentaires par rapport au début de la crise. Mais le nombre de chômeurs au sens strict ne reflète pas toujours les nombreuses facettes d’une réalité multiforme. L’objectif de cette étude est de juger si les évolutions salariales observées depuis la crise ont été conformes à leurs déterminants historiques – dont notamment le taux de chômage – ou si au contraire la mécanique traditionnelle a été altérée par des changements structurels du mode de formation des salaires. Notre analyse montre que la courbe de Phillips est un bon modèle de la dynamique salariale sur longue période mais il reste à savoir si cette relation parvient bien à rendre compte de l’évolution des salaires observée depuis le début de la crise.

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File URL: http://spire.sciencespo.fr/hdl:/2441/4klbg89lf88qer8a68627o53s6/resources/219-256.pdf
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Paper provided by Sciences Po in its series Sciences Po publications with number info:hdl:2441/4klbg89lf88qer8a68627o53s6.

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Date of creation: Dec 2015
Publication status: Published in Revue de l'OFCE, 2015, pp.219-255
Handle: RePEc:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/4klbg89lf88qer8a68627o53s6
Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.sciencespo.fr/

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