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L’impact du taux de change sur le tourisme en France

Author

Listed:
  • Guillaume Chevillon

    (Centre de Recherche en Économie et Statistique (CREST))

  • Xavier Timbeau

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

Abstract

La dégradation de la balance commerciale française de plus de 20 milliards d’euros observée entre 2001 et 2004 est liée à hauteur de 4 milliards d’euros à la réduction de l’excédent du tourisme. Parmi les explications possibles de ce repli se trouvent l’appréciation de la devise européenne, le traumatisme du 11 septembre 2001 et une perte d’attractivité du territoire français. Nous montrons à l’aide d’une analyse économétrique portant sur le nombre de touristes entrant et sortant de France, ainsi que leurs dépenses, que les variations du taux de change expliquent plus de 60 % de la dégradation de la balance du tourisme, relativisant ainsi le poids des autres facteurs. Le manque à gagner que l’appréciation de l’euro induit pour l’industrie française du tourisme est de 4,2 milliards d’euros entre 2001 et 2005.

Suggested Citation

  • Guillaume Chevillon & Xavier Timbeau, 2006. "L’impact du taux de change sur le tourisme en France," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/1743, Sciences Po.
  • Handle: RePEc:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/1743
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bentolila Samuel & Saint-Paul Gilles, 2003. "Explaining Movements in the Labor Share," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 3(1), pages 1-33, October.
    2. Jean-Philippe Cotis & Elisabeth Rignols, 1998. "Le partage de la valeur ajoutée : quelques enseignements tirés du « paradoxe franco-américain »," Revue de l'OFCE, Programme National Persée, vol. 65(1), pages 291-344.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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