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Is the QTM Controversy Settled?


  • N R Bhanumurthy

    (Institute of Economic Growth)

  • M Ramachandran

    (Madras School of Economics)

  • Purna Chandra Padhan

    (University of Hyderabad)


The present study tests the validity of the Quantity Theory of Money with the help of a new test procedure developed by Horvath & Watson (Econometric Theory, 1995) in a multiple cointegration framework. By using a fairly long quarterly data set of USA, Canada, Australia and Italy for the period 1975-I to 1998-II the study found that I(0) velocity is proved in all the sample countries, except Canada. Further, it found that all the sample countries have at least one unknown cointegrating vector between money supply, prices and real income, corroborating the propositions of QTM.

Suggested Citation

  • N R Bhanumurthy & M Ramachandran & Purna Chandra Padhan, 2001. "Is the QTM Controversy Settled?," Working Papers 81, Institute for Social and Economic Change, Bangalore.
  • Handle: RePEc:sch:wpaper:81

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    Quantity theory of money; Multiple Cointegration;

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money


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