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Are real-time estimates of the output gap reliable?

Author

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  • Gerhard Rünstler

Abstract

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Suggested Citation

  • Gerhard Rünstler, 2002. "Are real-time estimates of the output gap reliable?," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002 300, Society for Computational Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:sce:scecf2:300
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ahsan ul Haq Satti & Wasim Shahid Malik, 2017. "The Unreliability of Output-Gap Estimates in Real Time," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 56(3), pages 193-219.
    2. Orphanides, Athanasios & van Norden, Simon, 2005. "The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gap Estimates in Real Time," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 37(3), pages 583-601, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Output gap measurement; Inflation forecasting;

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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