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A Tale of Two Transitions: Mobility Dynamics in the People’s Republic of China and Russia After Central Planning

Author

Listed:
  • Kristina Butaeva

    (University of Chicago)

  • Lian Chen

    (University of California, Los Angeles)

  • Steven Durlauf

    (University of Chicago)

  • Albert Park

    (Asian Development Bank)

Abstract

This paper examines intergenerational mobility in the People’s Republic of China (PRC) and Russia during their transitions from central planning to market systems. We consider mobility as movement captured by changes in status between parents and children. We provide estimates of overall mobility, which involves mobility during transition to a system’s steady state, as well as steady state mobility, which captures long-run mobility independent of transitional dynamics or shifts in the marginal distribution of outcomes across generations. We further decompose overall mobility into structural and exchange components. We find that the PRC exhibits more overall educational mobility than Russia, mostly because of greater structural mobility, whereas Russia exhibits greater steady-state educational mobility. In contrast, both overall and steady state occupational mobility are similar in the PRC and Russia. Comparing these results to the United States (US), we find steady state mobility in education is substantially higher in the US and Russia compared to the PRC, but occupational steady state mobility is comparable in all three countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Kristina Butaeva & Lian Chen & Steven Durlauf & Albert Park, 2025. "A Tale of Two Transitions: Mobility Dynamics in the People’s Republic of China and Russia After Central Planning," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 807, Asian Development Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:adbewp:021651
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    File URL: https://www.adb.org/publications/mobility-dynamics-prc-russia
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • J62 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Job, Occupational and Intergenerational Mobility; Promotion
    • I25 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Education and Economic Development
    • P36 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Socialist Institutions and Their Transitions - - - Consumer Economics; Health; Education and Training; Welfare, Income, Wealth, and Poverty

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