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Debt Crises: For Whom the Bell Tolls


  • Guillermo Ordonez

    (University of Pennsylvania)

  • Daniel Neuhann

    (University of Pennsylvania)

  • Harold Cole

    (University of Pennsylvania)


What a country has done in the past, and what other countries are doing in the present can feedback for good or for ill. We develop a model which can address hysteresis and contagion in sovereign debt markets. When a country's fundamentals change, those changes affect information acquisition about that country but also affect the allocation of investors worldwide, inducing changes in risk spreads in seemingly unrelated countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Guillermo Ordonez & Daniel Neuhann & Harold Cole, 2014. "Debt Crises: For Whom the Bell Tolls," 2014 Meeting Papers 1245, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  • Handle: RePEc:red:sed014:1245

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Trebesch, Christoph & Zabel, Michael, 2017. "The output costs of hard and soft sovereign default," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 416-432.
    2. Paula Margaretic & Sebastián Becerra, 2017. "Dispersed Information and Sovereign Risk Premia," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 808, Central Bank of Chile.
    3. repec:chb:bcchec:v:20:y:2017:i:2:p:090-127 is not listed on IDEAS

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt

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