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Determinants of population growth: empirical evidence from Pakistan (1960-2017)

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  • NYONI, THABANI

Abstract

The importance of population studies in Pakistan has been recognized since very ancient times. While population growth issues rarely grab the headlines in the media, it is imperative to note that Pakistan continues to be a victim of population growth. Employing the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) estimation criterion, the study seeks to uncover the determinants of population growth in Pakistan over the period 1960 – 2017. Diagnostic tests were carried out in order to verify the statistical appropriateness of the estimated model. Amongst other findings, the study revealed that a 1% increase in contraceptive prevalence rate will lead to approximately 3.53% decrease in population growth in Pakistan. The study, whose policy recommendations are four – fold, strongly; encourages the government to put measures as to reduce population growth in Pakistan.

Suggested Citation

  • Nyoni, Thabani, 2018. "Determinants of population growth: empirical evidence from Pakistan (1960-2017)," MPRA Paper 87522, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 18 May 2018.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:87522
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Huabin Wei & Yanqing Jiang & Yuxing Zhang, 2015. "A Review of Two Population Growth Models and an Analysis of Factors Affecting the Chinese Population Growth," Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 3(1), pages 8-20, March.
    2. Huabin Wei & Yanqing Jiang & Yuxing Zhang, 2015. "A Review of Two Population Growth Models and an Analysis of Factors Affecting the Chinese Population Growth," Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 3(1), pages 8-20.
    3. Rana Nabeel Ahmed & Kahlil Ahmad, 2016. "Impact of Population on Economic Growth: A Case Study of Pakistan," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 5(3), pages 162-176, September.
    4. Sanni Eneji Ademoh, 2017. "Population Growth and Life Expectancy: Predicting the Relationship," Scientific Modelling and Research, Online Science Publishing, vol. 2(1), pages 19-36.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
    • J18 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Public Policy

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