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Evaluating the Relationship between Socio-demographic Variables, Travel Experience and Probability to return to Destination


  • Azim, Tarek Sayed Abdel


This exploratory study was conducted in order to investigate the impact of socio-demographic variables “age, sex, familial situation, qualification, profession, income per capita”, travel characteristics and levels of satisfaction concerning the quality of tourist services offered to French travellers to Egypt, the prices and security in Egypt on the probability to return to Egypt in the future in period of chocks represented in the periods following the Sharm el-Sheikh attacks, Dahab attacks and during the aviant flu epidemic crisis which hit Egypt. This probability was estimated using the probit model.

Suggested Citation

  • Azim, Tarek Sayed Abdel, 2009. "Evaluating the Relationship between Socio-demographic Variables, Travel Experience and Probability to return to Destination," MPRA Paper 25195, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 11 May 2009.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:25195

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Kelvin Balcombe & George Rapsomanikis, 2010. "An Analysis of the Impact of Research and Development on Productivity Using Bayesian Model Averaging with a Reversible Jump Algorithm," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 92(4), pages 985-998.
    2. Chib, Siddhartha & Greenberg, Edward, 1994. "Bayes inference in regression models with ARMA (p, q) errors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 64(1-2), pages 183-206.
    3. Hoag, Dana L. & Ascough, James C. & Frasier, W. Marshall, 1999. "Farm Computer Adoption in the Great Plains," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 31(01), pages 57-67, April.
    4. Fernandez, Carmen & Ley, Eduardo & Steel, Mark F. J., 2001. "Benchmark priors for Bayesian model averaging," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 100(2), pages 381-427, February.
    5. Leon-Gonzalez, Roberto & Scarpa, Riccardo, 2008. "Improving multi-site benefit functions via Bayesian model averaging: A new approach to benefit transfer," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 56(1), pages 50-68, July.
    6. Michael Burton & Dan Rigby & Trevor Young, 1999. "Analysis of the Determinants of Adoption of Organic Horticultural Techniques in the UK," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 50(1), pages 47-63.
    7. Xavier Sala-I-Martin & Gernot Doppelhofer & Ronald I. Miller, 2004. "Determinants of Long-Term Growth: A Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE) Approach," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 94(4), pages 813-835, September.
    8. Hoag, Dana L. & Ascough, James C. & Frasier, W. Marshall, 1999. "Farm Computer Adoption In The Great Plains," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 31(01), April.
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    More about this item


    socio-demographic variables; satisfaction; quality; prices; security; crisis;

    JEL classification:

    • O1 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development
    • M1 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Business Administration
    • L83 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Sports; Gambling; Restaurants; Recreation; Tourism


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