IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/16364.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Būvnozares prognozēšanas modelis un tā izstrādāšanas metodika
[Construction industry forecasting model and it development method]

Author

Listed:
  • Skribans, Valerijs

Abstract

There has been conducted research on the theme of forecasting in construction industry. Brunch model developing is problem in forecasting. In the paper is worked out influential factor system for construction industry. General part of industry forecasting model is part of demand forecasting. Construction demand consists of governmental, private and enterprises demand. Main idea of paper is that economic growth changes population economic structure. With economic growth population wellbeing increases in all revenue groups, persons move from one revenue group to next more rich. Possibility to estimate population structural changes, population growth, average revenue level of any group gives good quantity in private demand forecasting. Construction branch demand consists of total governmental, private and enterprises demand. This method allows seeing level of demand in different construction markets: private housing, industrial and strategic object building, reconstruction with high quantity.

Suggested Citation

  • Skribans, Valerijs, 2002. "Būvnozares prognozēšanas modelis un tā izstrādāšanas metodika
    [Construction industry forecasting model and it development method]
    ," MPRA Paper 16364, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:16364
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/16364/1/MPRA_paper_16364.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Skribans, Valerijs, 2011. "Разработка Модели Системной Динамики Для Энергетического Сектора В Латвии
      [Development of system dynamics model for the energy sector in Latvia]
      ," MPRA Paper 39251, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Skribans, Valerijs, 2010. "Модель Жилищного Строительства В Постсоциалистических Странах На Примере Латвии
      [Housing model in the post socialistic countries on the example of Latvia]
      ," MPRA Paper 22229, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    business developing; construction economy; dynamic simulation; econometric model; forecasting; market research and analysis;

    JEL classification:

    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:16364. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Joachim Winter) or (Rebekah McClure). General contact details of provider: http://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.