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US labor market conditions and migration: a reassessment of Bahar (2025)

Author

Listed:
  • RODRIGUEZ, FRANCISCO
  • Bravo, Giancarlo

Abstract

Bahar (2025) argues that there is a long-term cointegrating relationship between US job vacancies and Southwest border crossings. We show that his conclusion is based on a misspecified Engle–Granger test applied to first differences. Once the Engle Granger test is correctly applied to levels, evidence for a cointegrating relationship vanishes, invalidating the paper’s approach to estimating short- and long-run elasticities. Bahar’s approach is therefore uninformative about the relationship between US labor market conditions and migration.

Suggested Citation

  • RODRIGUEZ, FRANCISCO & Bravo, Giancarlo, 2025. "US labor market conditions and migration: a reassessment of Bahar (2025)," MPRA Paper 127467, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:127467
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    JEL classification:

    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • O15 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Economic Development: Human Resources; Human Development; Income Distribution; Migration

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