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East Asia FTA and Kansai-Area fs Trade

Author

Listed:
  • Sumie Sato

    (Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University)

  • Mototsugu Fukushige

    (Graduate School of Economics, Osaka university)

Abstract

This paper attempts to forecast the changes in the Kansai-Area fs import and export when the East Asia Free Trade Agreements (FTA) is concluded among several countries in East and South-East Asia. We simulate the changes in the Kansai-Area fs trade in the following manner. First, we survey the simulation studies that forecast the changed in Japan fs national level trades by industries under the FTA. Second, we estimate a link model between the Japan fs national level and Kansai-Area fs import and export by commodities. Finally, we forecast the changes in the Kansai-Area fs import and export by extrapolating the estimated link models with the changes in the national level import and export. The result implies that the FTA promotes the Kansai-Area fs trade totally and expands the regional trade surplus.

Suggested Citation

  • Sumie Sato & Mototsugu Fukushige, 2007. "East Asia FTA and Kansai-Area fs Trade," Discussion Papers in Economics and Business 07-41, Osaka University, Graduate School of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:osk:wpaper:0741
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    File URL: http://www2.econ.osaka-u.ac.jp/library/global/dp/0741.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Free Trade Agreements; regional trade; Kansai-Area;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes

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