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The importance of long run structure for impulse response analysis in VAR models

  • Dr. James Mitchell

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    This paper demonstrates that how we identify the long run of the VAR model, as captured by the cointegrating vectors, affects identification of the impulse response functions. An application to monetary policy in the UK and the US shows that to resolve anomalies about the empirical effect of monetary policy shocks, such as the "price puzzle", we should consider the long run structure of the VAR in addition to the set of identifying restrictions imposed on the contemporaneous relations. This contrasts previous work that is traditionally confined to VAR models estimated in levels of the variables.

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    Paper provided by National Institute of Economic and Social Research in its series NIESR Discussion Papers with number 170.

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    Date of creation: Sep 2000
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    Handle: RePEc:nsr:niesrd:170
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    Web page: http://niesr.ac.uk

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