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Trade Liberalisation, Economic Crises and Growth


  • Rod Falvey
  • Neil Foster
  • David Greenaway


Many economic reforms are undertaken at a time of economic crisis. But is this a good time to undertake trade reform? In this paper we investigate whether an economic crisis at the time of trade liberalisation affects a country’s subsequent growth performance. We employ threshold regression techniques on five crisis indicators commonly used in the literature, to identify the relevant “crisis values” and to estimate the differential post-liberalisation growth effects in the crisis and non-crisis regimes. We find that the post-liberalisation growth depends on the characteristics of the crisis. Broadly speaking, an internal crisis implies lower growth and an external crisis higher growth relative to the non-crisis regime. These effects appear to be present in both the short and longer runs.

Suggested Citation

  • Rod Falvey & Neil Foster & David Greenaway, "undated". "Trade Liberalisation, Economic Crises and Growth," Discussion Papers 08/14, University of Nottingham, GEP.
  • Handle: RePEc:not:notgep:08/14

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Mariam Camarero & Inmaculada Martínez-Zarzoso & Felicitas Nowak-Lehmann & Cecilio Tamarit, 2016. "Trade Openness and Income: A Tale of Two Regions," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(3), pages 386-408, March.
    2. repec:cmj:journl:y:2013:i:29:tuca is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Sabina G. ŢUCA, 2013. "The Current Global Crisis: Causes And Solutions," SEA - Practical Application of Science, Fundația Română pentru Inteligența Afacerii, Editorial Department, issue 2, pages 307-313, October.
    4. repec:eee:appene:v:211:y:2018:i:c:p:1229-1244 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Falvey, Rod & Foster, Neil & Greenaway, David, 2012. "Trade Liberalization, Economic Crises, and Growth," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 40(11), pages 2177-2193.
    6. Amri, Fethi, 2017. "Intercourse across economic growth, trade and renewable energy consumption in developing and developed countries," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 527-534.
    7. Hakimi, Abdelaziz & Hamdi, Helmi, 2016. "Trade liberalization, FDI inflows, environmental quality and economic growth: A comparative analysis between Tunisia and Morocco," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 1445-1456.
    8. Kaplan, Muhittin & Aslan, Alper, 2006. "Türki̇ye’Ni̇n Dişa Açilma Oraninin Ölçümü, 1965-1995," MPRA Paper 10603, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Grundmann, Rainer & Gries, Thomas, 2015. "Crucial for Modern Sector Development? The Role of Exports and Institutions in Developing Countries," Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 112962, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    10. Mustafa, Ghulam & Rizov, Marian & Kernohan, David, 2017. "Growth, human development, and trade: The Asian experience," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 93-101.

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