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Mayors’ Reelection Choice and the Economy: Evidence from Portugal

Author

Listed:
  • Vítor Castro

    () (Universidade de Coimbra and NIPE)

  • Rodrigo Martins

    (Universidade de Coimbra and GEMF)

Abstract

Using a data set that covers all Portuguese mainland municipalities for the period 1979-2005, this study performs an empirical analysis of the economic determinants of Mayors' choice to run for another term. The literature on the subject is mainly centered on the United States and, as far as we know, no papers are found addressing the economic factors of this choice. Probit panel estimations show that local economic conditions matter more than the national or regional economic environment. The results also confirm that political variables are important and that they influence the likelihood of seeking reelection in the same way as they affect vote and popularity functions.

Suggested Citation

  • Vítor Castro & Rodrigo Martins, 2011. "Mayors’ Reelection Choice and the Economy: Evidence from Portugal," NIPE Working Papers 06/2011, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
  • Handle: RePEc:nip:nipewp:06/2011
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Local elections; Reelection; Mayor; Economic conditions; Probit model.;

    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • H79 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - Other
    • C35 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions

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