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Universities as Incubators of Mass Uprising

Author

Listed:
  • Sultan Mehmood
  • Ahmed Mushfiq Mobarak

Abstract

We link high-frequency geocoded protest data during Bangladesh’s 2024 Monsoon Revolution, Facebook measures of protest activity and social connectivity, university enrollment and demographics to establish: (1) student-linked protests precede off-campus mobilization; (2) student concentration predicts both on- and off-campus protest, while non-student youth, educated adults, urbanization, and locations of “placebo” universities authorized but not yet operating do not; and (3) social connectivity to student protest locations predicts off-campus diffusion one week later. Universities appear to incubate mass uprising by making dissent visible, coordinated, and capable of spreading beyond campus. Such patterns are also evident in U.S. Vietnam War protests and in global data. That universities facilitate broader political mobilization can explain why governments often seek to restrict student activism.

Suggested Citation

  • Sultan Mehmood & Ahmed Mushfiq Mobarak, 2026. "Universities as Incubators of Mass Uprising," NBER Working Papers 35983, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:35983
    Note: DEV POL
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
    • I23 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Higher Education; Research Institutions

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