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Evaluating heterogeneous effects of housing-sector-specific macroprudential policy tools on Belgian house price growth

Author

Listed:
  • Lara Coulier

    (: Department of Economics, Ghent University)

  • Selien De Schryder

    (Department of Economics, Ghent University)

Abstract

This paper analyzes whether housing-related macroprudential policy has heterogeneous effects on house price growth in local housing markets. More specifically, we employ an extensive dataset of Belgian municipalities containing a multitude of drivers of local house price dynamics and examine the potential heterogeneity of housing-related macroprudential policy changes driven by local characteristics related to financial constrained and high-risk borrowers, the degree of local housing market activity, and changes in local household indebtedness. We find more dampening effects of the common macroprudential policy tightenings on local house price growth for municipalities characterized by low-income and young citizens, which furthermore increase in hot housing markets. Our findings shed more light on the geographical heterogeneity of national macroprudential policy changes, which indicate the possibility to stabilize local housing market booms.

Suggested Citation

  • Lara Coulier & Selien De Schryder, 2022. "Evaluating heterogeneous effects of housing-sector-specific macroprudential policy tools on Belgian house price growth," Working Paper Research 421, National Bank of Belgium.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbb:reswpp:202210-421
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    File URL: https://www.nbb.be/fr/articles/evaluating-heterogeneous-effects-housing-sector-specific-macroprudential-policy-tools
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    macroprudential policy; local housing markets; heterogeneity; dynamic panel data; quantile regressions;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • O18 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure
    • R3 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location

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