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A Comparison of Reduced-Form Permit Price Models and their Empirical Performances

Author

Listed:
  • Georg Grüll
  • Luca Taschini

Abstract

Equilibrium models have been proposed in literature with the aim of describing the evolution of the price of emission permits. This paper derives _rst estimation methods for the calibration of three competing equilibrium models. Second, it demonstrates how their reduced-form versions are inter-related. Third, by means of calibration to historical data, it is shown how these reduced-form models perform in the current price-evolution framework also with respect to standard continuous time stochastic models.

Suggested Citation

  • Georg Grüll & Luca Taschini, 2009. "A Comparison of Reduced-Form Permit Price Models and their Empirical Performances," Working Papers 0918, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:mee:wpaper:0918
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    Cited by:

    1. Pauline Barrieu & Max Fehr, 2014. "Market-Consistent Modeling for Cap-and-Trade Schemes and Application to Option Pricing," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 62(2), pages 234-249, April.
    2. Barrieu, Pauline & Fehr, Max, 2011. "Integrated EUA and CER price modeling and application for spread option pricing," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 37576, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    3. Pauline Barrieu & Max Fehr, 2011. "Integrated EUA and CER price modeling and application for spread option pricing," GRI Working Papers 40, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C2 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables
    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • Q50 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - General

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