IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/leu/wpaper/28.html

Die Rentenreform in der Diskussion Ein Mikrosimulationsmodell für die Altersvorsorge in Deutschland (AVID-PRO)

Author

Listed:
  • Christof Schatz
  • Joachim Merz

    (LEUPHANA University Lüneburg,Department of Economic, Behaviour and Law Sciences, Research Institute on Professions (Forschungsinstitut Freie Berufe (FFB)))

Abstract

Earlier this year the results of the study ”old-age security in Germany 1996 (AVID 96)“ have been published. This study describes the future age-income-situation of the currently employed population. An essential element is the estimation of future individual working-biographies. This discussion paper portrays the instrument of this projection, a microsimulation model for the continuation of the working-biographies to analyse the age-income of the 40 to 60 year old currently employed population of the year 1996 in Germany (AVID-PRO). For the purpose of this microsimulation model we first raised longitudinal section and cross section data samples of working-biographies of about 14.000 persons. In a second step we examined these data by means of different regression-processes of developmenttrends between 1992 and 1996. The aim was the microeconometric estimation for the continuation of suitable models. In the centre of the microsimulation based projection we have three sub-models for the variables ”social-incomesituation“, ”income“ and ”working hours per week“. We projected the working-biography of each individual from his age when he was questioned until the age of 65 with the help of microsimulation. Besides these behaviour-equations AVID-PRO contains a vast number of detailed institutional regulations of the different old-age pension-systems. On the basis of the AVID-PRO completed biography-dates the age-incomes of the individuals have been calculated out of the different old-age security-systems and insurance systems. Selected results are presented. We now have a high-performance microsimulation model for the present old-age pension-reform-debate in Germany. This performance microsimulation model is able to analyse alternative policy-proposals for the old-age pension-system on the basis of a wide representative sample with the possibility to ananlyse different distributional and financing policies and policy impacts on the basis of an individual level.

Suggested Citation

  • Christof Schatz & Joachim Merz, 2000. "Die Rentenreform in der Diskussion Ein Mikrosimulationsmodell für die Altersvorsorge in Deutschland (AVID-PRO)," FFB-Discussionpaper 28, Research Institute on Professions (Forschungsinstitut Freie Berufe (FFB)), LEUPHANA University Lüneburg.
    • Handle: RePEc:leu:wpaper:28
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.leuphana.de/fileadmin/user_upload/Forschungseinrichtungen/ffb/files/publikationen/diskussion/DP_28_rentenreform.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2000
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • J26 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Retirement; Retirement Policies
    • I30 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - General
    • I38 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Government Programs; Provision and Effects of Welfare Programs
    • D31 - Microeconomics - - Distribution - - - Personal Income and Wealth Distribution

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:leu:wpaper:28. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Merz The email address of this maintainer does not seem to be valid anymore. Please ask Joachim Merz to update the entry or send us the correct address (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/fbluede.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.