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Does Negative News Reporting on the Economy Get Reflected in Companies’ Business Situation?

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We examine the effects of negative economic news reporting on companies' self-assessment of their business situation. In order to measure this negativity effect, we introduce a new daily business indicator for the Swiss manufacturing sector and examine the influence of newspaper articles, which we scan for particular keywords, on a daily basis. We use OLS and VAR models to examine the mutual influence of negative news and the business situation of private companies. The results show a negative influence of news reporting on the self-assessment of the companies surveyed, also when controlling for the overall economic situation. However, the negative effect is not stable in all our set-ups.

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  • David Iselin, 2017. "Does Negative News Reporting on the Economy Get Reflected in Companies’ Business Situation?," KOF Working papers 17-388, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
  • Handle: RePEc:kof:wpskof:17-388
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    File URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.3929/ethz-a-010811272
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    Cited by:

    1. Klaus Abberger & Andreas Dibiasi & Michael Siegenthaler & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2016. "The Effect of Policy Uncertainty on Investment Plans: Evidence from the Unexpected Acceptance of a Far-Reaching Referendum in Switzerland," CESifo Working Paper Series 5887, CESifo Group Munich.
    2. Binding, Garret & Dibiasi, Andreas, 2017. "Exchange rate uncertainty and firm investment plans evidence from Swiss survey data," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 1-27.
    3. Klaus Abberger & Andreas Dibiasi & Michael Siegenthaler & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2016. "The Effect of Policy Uncertainty on Investment Plans," KOF Working papers 16-406, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.

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