An Empirical Test of the Efficiency Hypothesis on the Renminbi NDF in Hong Kong Market
In this paper we analyze empirically the efficiency hypothesis after the revaluation on July 21, 2005, using daily non-deliverable forward (NDF) renminbi rates in the Hong Kong market. The efficiency hypothesis for the renminbi NDF market is rejected. Therefore, the NDF rate is not an unbiased predictor of the future spot rate.
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