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Inflação, Desemprego e Choques Cambiais: Uma Revisão da Literatura Sobre a Curva de Phillips no Brasil

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  • Adolfo Sachsida

Abstract

Este estudo faz uma ampla revisão da literatura sobre a curva de Phillips no Brasil. De maneira geral, os resultados descritos na literatura nacional se mostraram muito sensíveis ao período analisado, ao conjunto de proxies adotadas, ao instrumental econométrico empregado, bem como à frequência e ao número de defasagens permitidas para as variáveis. Tais resultados lançam dúvidas sobre a adequação da curva de Phillips para descrever a dinâmica inflacionária da economia brasileira. This article summarizes the studies about the Phillips curve in the Brazilian economy. Overall, the results are very sensitive to the time period, to the proxies adopted, to the econometric approach, and to the frequency and lags allowed to the variables. These results cast some doubts about the ability of the Phillips curve to describe the dynamics of inflation in the Brazilian economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Adolfo Sachsida, 2014. "Inflação, Desemprego e Choques Cambiais: Uma Revisão da Literatura Sobre a Curva de Phillips no Brasil," Discussion Papers 1924, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
    • Handle: RePEc:ipe:ipetds:1924
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jeannine Bailliu & Eiji Fujii, 2004. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through and the Inflation Environment in Industrialized Countries: An Empirical Investigation," Staff Working Papers 04-21, Bank of Canada.
    2. Angelo M. Fasolo & Marcelo Savino Portugal, 2003. "Imperfect Rationality and Inflationary Inertia: a New Estimation of the Phillips Curve for Brazil," Anais do XXXI Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 31st Brazilian Economics Meeting] b34, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
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    9. Adolfo Sachsida & Mario Jorge Mendonça & Luiz Alberto Medrano, 2011. "Inflação, Desemprego e Choques Cambiais: Novas Evidências para o Brasil," Discussion Papers 1661, Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA.
    10. Arruda, Elano Ferreira & Ferreira, Roberto Tatiwa & Castelar, Ivan, 2011. "Modelos Lineares e Não Lineares da Curva de Phillips para Previsão da Taxa de Inflação no Brasil," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 65(3), September.
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    2. Ferreira, Diego & Palma, Andreza Aparecida, 2015. "Forecasting Inflation with the Phillips Curve: A Dynamic Model Averaging Approach for Brazil," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 69(4), December.

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