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Jurisdictional Capital and AI Regulation: Evidence from the EU AI Act

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  • Yi Chen
  • Zhe Wang
  • Jing Zhou

Abstract

We study how AI regulation affects firm valuation using the EU Artificial Intelligence Act, the world's first comprehensive AI framework. In an event study around the April 2021 proposal, we find firms combining deeper EU presence with faster AI hiring earned higher announcement returns, suggesting markets value “jurisdictional capital”—experience in the EU regulatory environment helps firms navigate the AI regulation. The effect is stronger for high-risk AI, for firms with stable and concentrated EU presence, or prior compliance experience, unexplained by size, foreign exposure, or lobbying. EU-embedded, AI-expanding firms increase within-firm EU revenue share when peers are less embedded.

Suggested Citation

  • Yi Chen & Zhe Wang & Jing Zhou, 2026. "Jurisdictional Capital and AI Regulation: Evidence from the EU AI Act," IMF Working Papers 2026/180, International Monetary Fund.
  • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2026/180
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