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Impact Evaluation of a Cluster Program: An Application of Synthetic Control Methods

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  • Aboal, Diego
  • Crespi, Gustavo
  • Perera, Marcelo

Abstract

This paper analyzes the impact of a cluster tourism policy in the region of Colonia, Uruguay. The policy was implemented as part of an IDB-supported program. The study conducted a comparative analysis of Colonia vs. other tourism regions of the country applying a synthetic control method. This method of identifying the counterfactual is especially useful in comparative case studies where there are a limited number of control units. This is the first time that the synthetic control method hasbeen applied to a cluster policy. The estimations show a positive impact of the cluster program on the inflow of international tourists to Colonia of 30 percent in the period 2008–2015; however, no significant impact on total expenditure was found.

Suggested Citation

  • Aboal, Diego & Crespi, Gustavo & Perera, Marcelo, 2017. "Impact Evaluation of a Cluster Program: An Application of Synthetic Control Methods," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 8510, Inter-American Development Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:idb:brikps:8510
    DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.18235/0000810
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    Keywords

    cluster policy; impact evaluation; synthetic control methods;
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