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Sulle dinamiche del ciclo misesiano

  • Enrico Colombatto
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    Di recente l’analisi austriaca del ciclo economico è stata oggetto di rinnovato interesse: contrariamente alla maggior parte delle analisi tradizionali, infatti, la visione originaria di Mises non spiega il ciclo richiamandosi a shock esogeni o a illusioni di cui sarebbero vittime gruppi di agenti economici. Per contro, l’accento viene posto sul fenomeno dell’inflazione sequenziale generato dal sistema bancario e dalla variazione nei fondamentali a essa legata. Questo contributo si inserisce nel solco austriaco, ma intende approfondire non tanto la fase di espansione – oggetto principale dell’analisi misesiana – quanto i periodi di crisi e depressione, caratterizzati dalla dinamica dalla dinamica dei prezzi relativi e dai suoi effetti in termini di consumo, di produzione, di comportamenti sul mercato dei fattori. In particolare, si sostiene che, a seguito della crisi, l’andamento della domanda di fattori provoca l’acquisizione di rendite di posizione; queste spiegano il persistere di periodi di crescita modesta, se non di stagnazione.

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    Paper provided by ICER - International Centre for Economic Research in its series ICER Working Papers with number 04-2004.

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    Length: 25 pages
    Date of creation: Mar 2004
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    Handle: RePEc:icr:wpicer:04-2004
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    1. S. E Oppers, 2002. "The Austrian Theory of Business Cycles; Old Lessons for Modern Economic Policy?," IMF Working Papers 02/2, International Monetary Fund.
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