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Deriving Reasonable Range Estimates in Life Care Plan Analysis and Other Forensic Economic Applications

Author

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  • David Schap

    (Department of Economics, College of the Holy Cross)

Abstract

When an aggregate range of costs is estimated merely by summing the individual cost category ranges, the result is a reported aggregate range that is unnecessarily broad and thus misleading. The likelihood of occurrence of the extreme values in the range formed by mere arithmetic aggregation is so low that forensic economists would do better to omit such values by truncating their reported aggregate ranges. In searching for a suitable method of truncation, a few intuitively appealing methods are discarded once shown to be either impractical or intractable. Ultimately, a proposed procedure emerges that is methodologically sound and easily applied. The recommended method of truncation yields realistic and defensible aggregate range estimates that are capable of correct interpretation by forensic economists, attorneys, judges and jurors.

Suggested Citation

  • David Schap, 2003. "Deriving Reasonable Range Estimates in Life Care Plan Analysis and Other Forensic Economic Applications," Working Papers 0303, College of the Holy Cross, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:hcx:wpaper:0303
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    forensic economics; life care plan;

    JEL classification:

    • K41 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Litigation Process

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