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Sovereign credit rating and resource-backed loans in African countries

Author

Listed:
  • Yacouba Coulibaly

    (LEO - Laboratoire d'Économie d'Orleans [2022-...] - UO - Université d'Orléans - UT - Université de Tours - UCA - Université Clermont Auvergne)

  • Jean-Marc Malambwe Kilolo

    (United Nations Economic Commission for Africa)

  • Tanouh Fadiga Hacime

    (CREG - Centre de recherche en économie de Grenoble - UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes, UGA UFR FEG - Université Grenoble Alpes - Faculté d'Économie de Grenoble - UGA - Université Grenoble Alpes)

Abstract

During the past two decades, the number of African countries receiving a sovereign credit rating has increased exponentially compared to the previous period.In fact, faced with the drying up of conventional financing and the growing need for development finance, many African countries are turning to the eurobond market, which considers the sovereign credit rating as a credible signal of the sovereign's ability to pay their debt. At the same time, resource-rich African countries have resorted to resource-back loans from other developing nations -essentially China, whose principle is to use the natural resource endowments of the countries as collateral or payment in kind. Using the entropy balancing method, the purpose of this paper is to test whether African sovereigns resorting to resource-backed loans have on average a lower credit score compared to others. After performing a set of robustness checks, the study shows that the resource-backed loan has a negative and statistically significant impact on the sovereign credit rating for African countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Yacouba Coulibaly & Jean-Marc Malambwe Kilolo & Tanouh Fadiga Hacime, 2025. "Sovereign credit rating and resource-backed loans in African countries," Working Papers hal-05165783, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-05165783
    DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.15976266
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-05165783v1
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    JEL classification:

    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • H81 - Public Economics - - Miscellaneous Issues - - - Governmental Loans; Loan Guarantees; Credits; Grants; Bailouts
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products

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