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Les vents contraires de la croissance française

Author

Listed:
  • Jérôme Creel

    (OFCE - Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques (Sciences Po) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po)

  • Eloi Laurent

    (OFCE - Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques (Sciences Po) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po)

Abstract

Robert Gordon, qui fut un sceptique de la nouvelle économie il y a deux décennies, prédit dans un article publié en 2012 que la croissance américaine pourrait quasiment disparaître sous l'effet de six « vents contraires » : démographie, inégalités, éducation, mondialisation, coût de l'énergie et dette seraient autant de marqueurs de la perte vitesse de l'économie américaine. Sans nous livrer au même exercice de chiffrage que Gordon, nous tentons d'évaluer la nature, l'intensité et la direction des vents contraires qui pourraient, dans la perspective de moyen-terme chère à Gordon, contrarier la croissance française. Nous concluons sur cinq recommandations.

Suggested Citation

  • Jérôme Creel & Eloi Laurent, 2015. "Les vents contraires de la croissance française," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03459713, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:spmain:hal-03459713
    DOI: 10.3917/reof.142.0233
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal-sciencespo.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-03459713
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