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A re-examination of real interest parity in CEECs using 'old' and 'new' second-generation panel unit root tests

Author

Listed:
  • Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu

    (UPT - Universității Politehnica Timișoara [România] = Polytechnic University of Timişoara [Romania] = Université polytechnique de Timișoara [Roumanie])

  • Dominique Pépin

    (Axe 2 (2011-2016) : « Marchés, Cultures de consommation, Autonomie et Migrations » (MSHS Poitiers) - MSHS de Poitiers [Maison des sciences de l'homme et de la société de Poitiers] - Maison des sciences humaines et sociales de Poitiers [USR 3565] - UP - Université de Poitiers = University of Poitiers - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, CRIEF [Poitiers] - Centre de recherche sur l'intégration économique et financière [EA 2249] - UP - Université de Poitiers = University of Poitiers)

  • Aviral Kumar Tiwaric

    (Faculty of Management - IBS Hyderabad - IFHE University)

Abstract

This study applies ‘old' and ‘new' second-generation panel unit root tests to check the validity of the long-run real interest rate parity (RIP) hypothesis for ten Central and Eastern European Countries (CEECs) with respect to the Euro area and an average of the CEECs' real interest rates. When the ‘new' panel unit root tests are carried out relative to the Euro area rate as reference, we confirm the results of previous studies that support the RIP hypothesis, and the results of the ‘old' tests used as a benchmark. Nevertheless, when the ‘new' tests are performed using the average of the CEECs' rate as reference, our results are mitigated, revealing that the hypothesis of CEECs' interest rates convergence cannot be taken for granted. From a robustness analysis perspective, our findings indicate that the RIP hypothesis for CEECs should be considered with caution, because the RIP hypothesis is sensitive to the retained reference rate for computing the real interest rate differential, and also to the retained countries in the sample.

Suggested Citation

  • Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Dominique Pépin & Aviral Kumar Tiwaric, 2016. "A re-examination of real interest parity in CEECs using 'old' and 'new' second-generation panel unit root tests," Post-Print halshs-01388921, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-01388921
    DOI: 10.1111/boer.12052
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    Cited by:

    1. Mübariz Hasanov & Tolga Omay & Vasif Abioglu, 2024. "Re-examining the real interest rate parity hypothesis under temporary gradual breaks and nonlinear convergence," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 23(3), pages 355-382, September.
    2. Ivan D. Trofimov, 2024. "Testing Wagner’s hypothesis using disaggregated data: evidence from a global panel," International Journal of Economic Policy Studies, Springer, vol. 18(1), pages 143-171, February.

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