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La valeur économique comme fait social : la preuve par les évaluations boursières

Author

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  • André Orléan

    (PSE - Paris-Jourdan Sciences Economiques - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris sciences et lettres - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, PSE - Paris School of Economics - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris sciences et lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement)

Abstract

Conformément à la thèse durkheimienne, l'approche que défend L'empire de la valeur (2011) attribue à la valeur économique une force sui generis qui lui vient de l'investissement collectif du groupe. Dans cet article, il s'agit d'analyser l'évaluation financière sous cet angle. Selon notre approche, la puissance motrice n'est pas du côté des individus mais du côté du marché qui s'impose comme une force autonome qui mène le jeu. L'explosion des CDS sur la période 2001-2007 comme la bulle Internet nous semble illustrer cette hypothèse. C'est le marché qui informe les investisseurs et non, comme le défend l'approche marginaliste, l'inverse. Dans un dernier temps, l'article propose une élucidation formelle de ce processus top-down à l'aide d'un modèle dérivé du modèle d'Ising de la physique statistique.

Suggested Citation

  • André Orléan, 2015. "La valeur économique comme fait social : la preuve par les évaluations boursières," Post-Print halshs-01313727, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-01313727
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Harrison Hong & José Scheinkman & Wei Xiong, 2006. "Asset Float and Speculative Bubbles," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 61(3), pages 1073-1117, June.
    2. Orlean, Andre, 1995. "Bayesian interactions and collective dynamics of opinion: Herd behavior and mimetic contagion," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 257-274, October.
    3. Eli Ofek & Matthew Richardson, 2003. "DotCom Mania: The Rise and Fall of Internet Stock Prices," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 58(3), pages 1113-1138, June.
    4. Eli Ofek & Matthew Richardson, 2002. "The Valuation and Market Rationality of Internet Stock Prices," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 18(3), pages 265-287.
    5. Trueman, B & Wong, MHF & Zhang, XJ, 2000. "The eyeballs have it: Searching for the value in internet stocks," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38, pages 137-162.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    CDS; mimétisme; rationalité; fait social; bulle Internet; émergence; modèle d’Ising; auto-transcendance; valeur; marché financier; CDS; mimétisme; rationalité; fait social; bulle Internet; émergence; modèle d’Ising; auto-transcendance; marché financier;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • A13 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics - - - Relation of Economics to Social Values
    • A14 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics - - - Sociology of Economics
    • B41 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Economic Methodology - - - Economic Methodology
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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