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Stock Craze: an Empirical Analysis of PER in Chinese Equity Market

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  • Mohamed El Hedi Arouri

    (LEO - Laboratoire d'économie d'Orleans [2008-2011] - UO - Université d'Orléans - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • C.-X. Liu

Abstract

China's Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets have been on a bullish run since the end of the split-share reform. The sharp gains are raising worries about stock overvaluations. We investigate the determinants of booming stock markets in modelling PER (price-earning ratio) over the available sample period 2000-2007 in Chinese A-share market with co-integration and error correction model specification. These results show that the market is driven primarily by the massive influx of fresh funds rather than corporate fundamentals. Regulators have been striving to cool down the surging stock markets for the good of long-term economic development and social stability.
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Suggested Citation

  • Mohamed El Hedi Arouri & C.-X. Liu, 2008. "Stock Craze: an Empirical Analysis of PER in Chinese Equity Market," Post-Print halshs-00324240, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00324240
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jianping Mei & Jose A. Scheinkman & Wei Xiong, 2009. "Speculative Trading and Stock Prices: Evidence from Chinese A-B Share Premia," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 10(2), pages 225-255, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Yang, Hu & Yi, Danhui, 2015. "Studies of the adaptive network-constrained linear regression and its application," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 40-52.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Stock; craze; empirical; analysis; PER; Chinese; equity; market;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • N2 - Economic History - - Financial Markets and Institutions

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