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Flux de capital et integration regionale: une étude econometrique des principaux determinants de l´instabilite macro-economique dans le Cone Sud-Americain

Author

Listed:
  • Alexis Saludjian

    (UFRJ - Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro [Brasil] = Federal University of Rio de Janeiro [Brazil] = Université fédérale de Rio de Janeiro [Brésil])

Abstract

La fuerte volatilidad macroeconómica de los países sudamericanos desde fines de los años setenta plantea interrogantes a los economistas sobre las estrategias de desarrollo que éstos promueven. La integración económica regional en el seno del MERCOSUR y la apertura económica y financiera se han preconizado como factores de estabilización macroeconómica. Para verificar esas hipótesis, estudiamos los corolarios de la volatilidad macroeconómica en el MERCOSUR en el periodo 1976-2001, distinguiendo dos subgrupos de países (Argentina/Uruguay y Brasil/Paraguay). Hemos llegado, por una parte, con nuestros datos estadísticos, a sacar a la luz las carencias del regionalismo abierto y validar el concepto de desmercosurización, y, por otro lado, confirmar el papel de la volatilidad que juegan los flujos de capital extranjeros.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexis Saludjian, 2009. "Flux de capital et integration regionale: une étude econometrique des principaux determinants de l´instabilite macro-economique dans le Cone Sud-Americain," Post-Print hal-05647422, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05647422
    DOI: 10.22201/IIEC.20078951E.2006.147.7636
    as

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