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Les accords de partenariat économique, un effet négatif sur la filière lait au Sénégal

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  • Mamadou Daffe

    (Direction générale du Budget du Ministère des Finances et du Budget du Sénégal)

Abstract

This article studies the impact of the Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) between the European Union (EU) and Senegal on the country's dairy sector, using a dynamic recursive Computable General Equilibrium Model (CGEM) based on the model developed by Decaluwé and calibrated on Senegal's social accounting matrix (SAM) for the year 2014. The specificity of the model is the disaggregation of imports and exports according to their origin or destination, respectively through a CES (Constant Elasticity of Substitution) function and a CET (Constant Elasticity of Transformation) function. The results indicate that, for Senegal, the EPA has a rather negative impact on the dairy sector, and does not contribute to achieving the Sustainable Development Goal (SDG 2.3). Its implementation leads to a lower production and to a reduced employment in the sector. It is also causing a drop in the demand for raw milk for intermediate consumption and a decline in rural household income. On the other hand, an increased taxation on milk powder imports will have a beneficial effect on the added value of the sector, the income of raw milk‑producing households and wage rates in the dairy sector

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  • Mamadou Daffe, 2024. "Les accords de partenariat économique, un effet négatif sur la filière lait au Sénégal," Post-Print hal-05269536, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05269536
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://insee.hal.science/hal-05269536v1
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