IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hal/journl/hal-04317265.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Guerre en Ukraine : bouleversements et défis énergétiques en Europe

Author

Listed:
  • Carl Grekou

    (EconomiX - EconomiX - UPN - Université Paris Nanterre - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Emmanuel Hache

    (IFPEN - IFP Energies nouvelles)

  • Frédéric Lantz

    (IFPEN - IFP Energies nouvelles, IFP School)

  • Olivier Massol

    (IFP School, IFPEN - IFP Energies nouvelles, LGI - Laboratoire Génie Industriel - CentraleSupélec - Université Paris-Saclay, City University of London)

  • Valérie Mignon

    (EconomiX - EconomiX - UPN - Université Paris Nanterre - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Lionel Ragot

    (EconomiX - EconomiX - UPN - Université Paris Nanterre - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

La guerre en Ukraine provoque de multiples bouleversements, parmi lesquels la scène énergétique occupe une place de premier plan. L'Europe, très fortement dépendante des hydrocarbures russes, est tout particulièrement touchée. Ce Policy Brief analyse les enjeux et défis, pour l'Europe, du conflit russo-ukrainien sur les marchés gazier et pétrolier. Il dresse un panorama complet de la production et des échanges de gaz et de pétrole prévalant avant la guerre, puis met en évidence la dépendance des économies européennes aux hydrocarbures russes dont les impacts économiques se sont manifestés dès le début des hostilités. Il décrit de façon approfondie les différents canaux via lesquels le choc à la hausse des prix des énergies pourrait déclencher une spirale inflationniste à même de faire craindre le retour de la stagflation qui a miné les économies européennes dans les années 1970 et 1980. La devise européenne n'est pas épargnée par ce conflit et sa dépréciation participe à la transmission de la hausse des prix de l'énergie à l'inflation de la zone euro. Plusieurs pistes sont enfin explorées qui pourraient permettre aux pays européens de s'émanciper de la dépendance russe : (i) introduction d'une réelle concurrence sur le marché gazier et prévention d'éventuelles ruptures d'approvisionnement en réglementant les obligations de stockage, (ii) diversification des sources d'approvisionnement en hydrocarbures et (iii) accélération de la transition énergétique en dépit des obstacles de court terme.

Suggested Citation

  • Carl Grekou & Emmanuel Hache & Frédéric Lantz & Olivier Massol & Valérie Mignon & Lionel Ragot, 2022. "Guerre en Ukraine : bouleversements et défis énergétiques en Europe," Post-Print hal-04317265, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04317265
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    To our knowledge, this item is not available for download. To find whether it is available, there are three options:
    1. Check below whether another version of this item is available online.
    2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
    3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.

    Other versions of this item:

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ioana Ancuta Iancu & Patrick Hendrick & Dan Doru Micu & Stefan Dragos Cirstea, 2023. "The Demand for Energy Imports from Non-Renewable Resources in EU-27 Economy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(13), pages 1-18, July.
    2. Ioana-Ancuta Iancu & Patrick Hendrick & Dan Doru Micu & Stefan Dragos Cirstea, 2023. "The Demand for Energy Imports from Non-Renewable Resources in EU-27 Economy," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/362698, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    3. Sigit Perdana & Marc Vielle & Maxime Schenckery, 2022. "European Economic impacts of cutting energy imports from Russia : A computable general equilibrium analysis," Post-Print hal-03887431, HAL.
    4. Patrice Geoffron, 2022. "Confronting the gas crisis: Can we REPowerUE?," ECONOMICS AND POLICY OF ENERGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2022(1), pages 5-15.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Guerre en Ukraine; Dépendance énergétique; Hydrocarbure; Europe; Russie; Stagflation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
    • E66 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General Outlook and Conditions
    • F51 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - International Conflicts; Negotiations; Sanctions
    • L71 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Primary Products and Construction - - - Mining, Extraction, and Refining: Hydrocarbon Fuels
    • Q34 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Natural Resources and Domestic and International Conflicts
    • Q35 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Hydrocarbon Resources

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04317265. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CCSD (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.