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Les propriétés dynamiques et de long terme du modèle ThreeMe

Author

Listed:
  • Gaël Callonnec

    (ADEME - Agence de l'Environnement et de la Maîtrise de l'Energie)

  • Gissela Landa
  • Paul Malliet

    (OFCE - Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques (Sciences Po) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po)

  • Frédéric Reynés
  • Aurélien Saussay

    (OFCE - Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques (Sciences Po) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po)

Abstract

ThreeME est un modèle macroéconomique d'équilibre général calculable multisectoriel d'inspiration néo-keynésienne, conçu pour évaluer les impacts macroéconomiques des politiques publiques, notamment énergétiques et environnementales. Cet article propose une analyse des propriétés dynamiques et de long terme du modèle ThreeME. Plusieurs variantes ont été conduites : une modification du prix du pétrole, des cotisations employeurs, de la TVA, des investissements publics ou encore l'introduction d'une taxe carbone. Pour chacune d'entre elles, nous montrons l'impact de la spécification de l'équation de salaire (en comparant les résultats simulés avec une courbe Wage Setting et de Phillips). Nous comparons aussi les résultats de ThreeME avec ceux du modèle MESANGE ainsi que deux versions de ThreeME (version standard et hybride)

Suggested Citation

  • Gaël Callonnec & Gissela Landa & Paul Malliet & Frédéric Reynés & Aurélien Saussay, 2016. "Les propriétés dynamiques et de long terme du modèle ThreeMe," Post-Print hal-03459390, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03459390
    DOI: 10.3917/reof.149.0047
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://sciencespo.hal.science/hal-03459390
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    Cited by:

    1. Ravigné, Emilien & Ghersi, Frédéric & Nadaud, Franck, 2022. "Is a fair energy transition possible? Evidence from the French low-carbon strategy," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).

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