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Currency misalignments and exchange rate regimes in Latin American countries: a trade-off issue

Author

Listed:
  • Valérie Mignon

    (EconomiX - EconomiX - UPN - Université Paris Nanterre - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Jorge Carrera
  • Blaise Gnimassoun

  • Romain Restout

Abstract

This paper conducts an in-depth empirical investigation on the impact of the exchange rate regime (ERR) on real currency misalignments in a panel of 17 Latin American countries over the 1970-2016 period. We consider explicitly the two dimensions of misalignments, size and persistence, and evaluate four different ERR classifications. We also pay attention to cross-sectional dependencies across countries that appear to be important in Latin America, and provide several robustness checks. Our main findings show that, although fixed ERR perform well in limiting the size of misalignments---and in reducing inflation and fiscal deficit---the disequilibria are more persistent. On the contrary, allowing for more flexibility reduces persistence but increases the size of misalignments. Overall, we show that Latin American countries face a crucial trade-off when they have to choose their ERR.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • Valérie Mignon & Jorge Carrera & Blaise Gnimassoun & Romain Restout, 2021. "Currency misalignments and exchange rate regimes in Latin American countries: a trade-off issue," Post-Print hal-02919189, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02919189
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    Cited by:

    1. Njamen Kengdo Arsène Aurelien & Nchofoung Tii N. & Kos A Mougnol Alice, 2023. "Determinants of Military Spending in Africa: Do Institutions Matter?," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 29(4), pages 401-440, December.
    2. Kadjatou Dakoure & Mahamadou Diarra & M. Idrissa Ouedraogo, 2023. "Role of the choice of exchange rate regime on real exchange rate misalignments in South Sahara African countries," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 20(3), pages 425-455, July.
    3. Marçal, Emerson Fernandes & Simões, Oscar Rodrigues, 2024. "Current account and real effective exchange rate dynamics: the role of non-linear dynamics in Brazil," Textos para discussão 571, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
    4. Arsène Aurelien Njamen Kengdo & Tii N. Nchofoung & Philemon Bonaventure Ntang, 2020. "Effect of external debt on the level of infrastructure in Africa," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(4), pages 3349-3366.
    5. Kelly, Arsene Mouongue & Ngo Nguéda Radler, Romaine Doline, 2024. "Does energy consumption matter for climate change in Africa? New insights from panel data analysis," Innovation and Green Development, Elsevier, vol. 3(3).
    6. Marcel Takoulac Kamta & Arsène Aurelien Njamen Kengdo & Alain Bertrand Ndzana Mekia & Franklin Dongmo Tsobjio, 2020. "Identification of risk-taking channel of monetary policy in Cameroon," Economic Research Guardian, Mutascu Publishing, vol. 10(2), pages 83-96, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System

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