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Why do some oil-producing countries succeed in democracy while others fail?

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  • Luc-Désiré Omgba

    (EconomiX - EconomiX - UPN - Université Paris Nanterre - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

Empirical studies examining the effect of oil on democracy have shown contradictory results. This paper offers an explanation. In measuring the number of years between the beginning of oil production and the attainment of political independence in oil-producing countries, we found that the greater the number of years, the higher the level of democracy ceteris paribus. The types of resources exploited in the colonial period were shown to have influenced institutions’ nature and the formation of elite, which acts to prevent subsequent political reforms. This pattern is mitigated in countries that started producing oil far away from their independence.
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  • Luc-Désiré Omgba, 2015. "Why do some oil-producing countries succeed in democracy while others fail?," Post-Print hal-01654509, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01654509
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    Cited by:

    1. Tania Masi & Antonio Savoia & Kunal Sen, 2018. "Is there a fiscal resource curse? Resource rents, fiscal capacity and political institutions," Global Development Institute Working Paper Series esid-096-18, GDI, The University of Manchester.
    2. Tanin, Tauhidul Islam & Hasanov, Akram Shavkatovich & Shaiban, Mohammed Sharaf Mohsen & Brooks, Robert, 2022. "Risk transmission from the oil market to Islamic and conventional banks in oil-exporting and oil-importing countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    3. Ongo Nkoa, Bruno Emmanuel & Tadadjeu, Sosson & Njangang, Henri, 2023. "Rich in the dark: Natural resources and energy poverty in Sub-Saharan Africa," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    4. Tian, Jilin & Sim, Nicholas & Yan, Wenshou & Li, Yanyun, 2020. "Trade uncertainty, income, and democracy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 21-31.
    5. Mohammed Lazreg & Kamel Si Mohammed, 2019. "Corruption and Democracy in Middle East and North Africa Countries: Dynamic Generalized Method of Moments," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 9(1), pages 60-65.
    6. Bergougui, Brahim & Murshed, Syed Mansoob, 2020. "New evidence on the oil-democracy nexus utilising the Varieties of Democracy data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    7. Bybert Moudjare Helgath, "undated". "Oil rent and the quality of institutions in Sub-Saharan African countries: Evidence using the dynamic panel threshold model," Review of Socio - Economic Perspectives 202192, Reviewsep.
    8. Farid Gasmi & Laura Recuero Virto & Denis Couvet, 2020. "The Impact of Renewable Versus Non-renewable Natural Capital on Economic Growth," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 77(2), pages 271-333, October.
    9. Matallah, Siham, 2022. "Economic diversification and governance challenges in MENA oil exporters: A comparative analysis," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    10. Noula Armand Gilbert & Ghamsi Deffo Salomon Leroy & Mofow Neville Zoatsa, 2020. "Exploitation of Mineral Resources and Economic Growth in CEMAC: The Role of Institutions," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), Democritus University of Thrace (DUTH), Kavala Campus, Greece, vol. 13(2), pages 19-29, September.
    11. Tii N. Nchofoung & Simplice A. Asongu & Vanessa S. Tchamyou & Ofeh M. Edoh, 2022. "Gender political inclusion and democracy in Africa: some empirical evidence," Working Papers 22/051, European Xtramile Centre of African Studies (EXCAS).
    12. Joseph Keneck Massil, 2015. "Fondement historique de la qualité des institutions politiques : l’expérience parlementaire à l’indépendance," EconomiX Working Papers 2015-29, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    13. Masi, Tania & Savoia, Antonio & Sen, Kunal, 2024. "Is there a fiscal resource curse? Resource rents, fiscal capacity and political institutions in developing economies," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    14. Tii N. Nchofoung & Simplice A. Asongu & Vanessa S. Tchamyou & Ofeh M. Edoh, 2021. "Political inclusion and democracy in Africa: some empirical evidence," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute. 21/091, African Governance and Development Institute..
    15. Tadadjeu, Sosson & Njangang, Henri & Woldemichael, Andinet, 2023. "Are resource-rich countries less responsive to global warming? Oil wealth and climate change policy," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    16. Hans Tino Ayamena Mpenya & Clarisse Metseyem & Boniface Ngah Epo, 2016. "Natural Resources and Capital Flight in Cameroon," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 28(S1), pages 88-99, April.
    17. Tania Masi & Antonio Savoia & Kunal Sen, 2020. "Is there a fiscal resource curse? Resource rents, fiscal capacity, and political institutions in developing economies," WIDER Working Paper Series wp2020-10, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    18. Gisele Msann & Viswanathan Pozhamkandath Karthiayani, 2023. "Resource curse and growth challenges in MENA oil exporter countries: A case for governance reforms in the post Arab Spring uprisings context," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 15(5), pages 992-1007, June.
    19. Luc Désiré Omgba, 2016. "On the mobilization of domestic resources in oil countries: The role of historical factors," WIDER Working Paper Series 154, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    20. Joseph Keneck Massil & Sandrine Kablan & Jacques Bikai Landry, 2018. "Does Central Bank’s maturity matter for economic growth? [La maturité des Banques Centrales influence -t-elle la croissance économique ?]," Working Papers halshs-01828496, HAL.
    21. Joseph Keneck Massil & Sandrine Kablan & Jacques Bikai Landry, 2019. "La maturité des Banques Centrales influence-t- elle la croissance économique ?," Erudite Working Paper 2019-08, Erudite.
    22. Matallah, Siham, 2020. "Economic diversification in MENA oil exporters: Understanding the role of governance," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    23. Luc Désiré Omgba, 2016. "On the mobilization of domestic resources in oil countries: The role of historical factors," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2016-154, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    24. Park, Albert Sanghoon, 2017. "Does the Development Discourse Learn from History?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 52-64.
    25. Désiré Avom & Louis de Berquin Eyike Mbongo, 2020. "La diffusion des TIC ameliore‐t‐elle qualitativement les institutions politiques en Afrique?," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 32(3), pages 419-431, September.

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