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La pratique des indications prospectives des banques centrales dans le contexte de la borne du zéro sur les taux d’intérêt

Author

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  • Hamza Bennani

    (EconomiX - EconomiX - UPN - Université Paris Nanterre - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

Cet article propose une méthode alternative pour évaluer l'utilité des indications prospectives des banques centrales depuis le début de la crise financière globale et l'apparition de la borne du zéro sur les taux d'intérêt. En utilisant la méthodologie de Wordscores, je mesure quantitativement le ton accommodant des indications prospectives de trois banques centrales : la Banque centrale européenne, la Réserve fédérale américaine et la Banque d'Angleterre. Les résultats démontrent que, depuis 2009, la stratégie de communication des banques centrales délivre des informations importantes aux marchés financiers – relatives à la persistance des mesures de politique monétaire non conventionnelle et aux stratégies de sorties de ces mesures – à travers les indications prospectives odysséennes.

Suggested Citation

  • Hamza Bennani, 2018. "La pratique des indications prospectives des banques centrales dans le contexte de la borne du zéro sur les taux d’intérêt," Post-Print hal-01549797, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01549797
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