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L'impact de la taxation sur les ventes de cigarettes en France Une approche économétrique

Author

Listed:
  • Vincent Fromentin

    (CEREFIGE - Centre Européen de Recherche en Economie Financière et Gestion des Entreprises - UL - Université de Lorraine)

Abstract

Cet article vise à contribuer au débat portant sur l'impact de la taxation du tabac en France entre 2000 et 2012 avec une approche économétrique prenant en compte les chocs structurels. L'utilisation de tests de racine unitaire avec rupture endogène et d'un test de rupture structurelle permet d'analyser l'impact de l'augmentation des prix des cigarettes sur l'évolution des ventes pour deux sous-périodes, séparées par le choc structurel du mois d'octobre 2003. Les tests économétriques confirment l'existence d'une rupture dans la série de ventes de cigarettes et mettent en évidence des élasticités-prix différentes d'une période à l'autre. Les conclusions de cet article permettent alors de contribuer à l'étude de cette problématique de santé publique dans laquelle les dimensions politique et économique sont entremêlées. Les pouvoirs publics devraient mettre en œuvre une forte hausse des prix du tabac pour obtenir des effets rapides et concrets.

Suggested Citation

  • Vincent Fromentin, 2015. "L'impact de la taxation sur les ventes de cigarettes en France Une approche économétrique," Post-Print hal-01370242, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01370242
    DOI: 10.3917/reco.pr2.0044
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01370242
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    Keywords

    Econométrique; taxation;

    JEL classification:

    • C01 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Econometrics
    • H2 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue
    • I10 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - General

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