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Is There a Quantity Puzzle Within Countries? An Application Using U.S. and Canadian Data

Author

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  • Jean Imbs

    (Center for Economic Research - CEPR, HEC Lausanne - Faculté des Hautes Etudes Commerciales (HEC Lausanne), London Business School)

Abstract

Fluctuations in Disposable Income (net of transfers) are more correlated across U.S. States or Canadian Provinces than fluctuations in local Production. Across countries, Consumption plans are less correlated than business cycles, a theoretical anomaly famously labeled a "Quantity Puzzle" by Backus, Kehoe and Kydland (1992). In the aggregate, financially integrated regions tend to have highly synchronized GDP fluctuations, as documented in Imbs (2004b). In contrast, within countries, financial integration is associated with less correlated business cycles, in a way consistent with the standard international real business cycle model. In other words, the Quantity Puzzle pertains to international data, and it stems from the specific impact of capital flows on international output correlations.

Suggested Citation

  • Jean Imbs, 2004. "Is There a Quantity Puzzle Within Countries? An Application Using U.S. and Canadian Data," Post-Print hal-00617462, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-00617462
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    Cited by:

    1. Fratzscher, Marcel & Imbs, Jean, 2009. "Risk sharing, finance, and institutions in international portfolios," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(3), pages 428-447, December.

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