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Financial Reforms, International Financial Flows, and Growth in Advanced Economies

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  • Catherine Guillemineau

Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of financial liberalization, international capital flows, cross-border banking, as well as of monetary policy and equity prices on common economic growth. Since 1995, the largest part of real GDP growth in EU countries, Canada and the United-States has been driven by a common factor. Factor-augmented VAR estimates show that since the mid-1990s, equity prices have become by far the main driver of common growth. If common economic growth is positively related to equity prices, it has also become more vulnerable to stock markets’ downturns and more responsive to their upturns. Prior to 1995, the liberalization of domestic credit impacted negatively common economic growth and was the main source of volatility. The liberalization of capital flows and stock markets which was completed at about the same time, had an insignificant albeit negative impact on common economic growth. These results are robust to different VAR specifications. The impact of FDI and portfolio investment intensity on common growth has increased since the mid-1990s but empirical evidence on their relative importance is mitigated.

Suggested Citation

  • Catherine Guillemineau, 2012. "Financial Reforms, International Financial Flows, and Growth in Advanced Economies," GREDEG Working Papers 2012-09, Groupe de REcherche en Droit, Economie, Gestion (GREDEG CNRS), University of Nice Sophia Antipolis, revised Jul 2013.
  • Handle: RePEc:gre:wpaper:2012-09
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    File URL: http://www.gredeg.cnrs.fr/working-papers/GREDEG-WP-2012-09.pdf
    File Function: Revised version, 2013
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    financial liberalization; domestic credit; financial openness; cross-border banking; equity prices; common economic growth;

    JEL classification:

    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • F44 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Business Cycles
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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