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Monnaie et inflation dans un modele de cycles reels

Author

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  • Hairault, J.O.
  • Portier, F.

Abstract

Nous présentons dans cet article un modèle d'équilibre général intertemporel qui rend compte de l'influence de l'inflation dans le cycle en France et aux Etats-Unis. L'adoption d'une fonction d'utilité assez générale permet de dégager l'importance des élasticités de substitution instantanée et intertemporelle dans la dynamique d'ajustement de l'économie et l'éventuelle présence d'un effet Tobin. La simulation stochastique du modèle et sa comparaison avec les données françaises et américaines montre qu'il permet une reproduction de la dimension réelle du cycle similaire à celle des modèles RBC traditionnels. La reproduction de la dimension nominale du cycle s'avère plus décevante, un étalonnage réaliste du modèle (en particulier de la valeur des élasticités intertemporelles de substitution) ne permet pas de reproduire conjointement les faits stylisés nominaux principaux et les profils de réponses des variables réelles à un choc monétaire.
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Suggested Citation

  • Hairault, J.O. & Portier, F., 1992. "Monnaie et inflation dans un modele de cycles reels," Papiers d'Economie Mathématique et Applications 92.31, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1).
    • Handle: RePEc:fth:pariem:92.31
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    Cited by:

    1. Benassy, Jean-Pascal, 1995. "Money and wage contracts in an optimizing model of the business cycle," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 303-315, April.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    modeles economiques ; cycles economiques;

    JEL classification:

    • C6 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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