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Forecasting the World Economy Using Dynamic Intertemporal General Equilibrium Multi-Country Models

Author

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  • McKibbin, W.J.

Abstract

This paper gives an overview of the types of models available for analysing possible futures of the global economy. It then focuses on dynamic intertemporal general equilibrium models and describes how these models are used for both projections and scenario analysis. Some lessons from recent history both theoretical and practical are used to demonstrate the usefulness of the models.

Suggested Citation

  • McKibbin, W.J., 1999. "Forecasting the World Economy Using Dynamic Intertemporal General Equilibrium Multi-Country Models," Papers 145, Brookings Institution - Working Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:fth:brooki:145
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    Cited by:

    1. Audrone Jakaitiene & Stephane Dees, 2012. "Forecasting the World Economy in the Short Term," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(3), pages 331-350, March.
    2. Iancu, Aurel, 2009. "Real Economic Convergence," Working Papers of National Institute for Economic Research 090104, Institutul National de Cercetari Economice (INCE).
    3. Guest, Ross S. & McDonald, Ian M., 2007. "Global GDP shares in the 21st century -- An equilibrium approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 24(6), pages 859-877, November.
    4. Iancu, Aurel, 2007. "Economic Convergence. Applications - Second Part -," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 4(4), pages 24-48, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    FORECASTS ; ECONOMIC MODELS;

    JEL classification:

    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models

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