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Working Paper 02-15 - Une modélisation de l’évolution future de la migration internationale pour la Belgique
[Working Paper 02-15 - Modelling the future evolution of international migration for Belgium]

Author

Listed:
  • Marie Vandresse

Abstract

This Working Paper presents the methodological progress made in projecting international migration. The new methodology is notably based on an analysis of migration flows per nationality and on statistics on reasons for migrating, in order to assess whether economic variables constitute relevant determinants of migration. If they do, the impact of economic determinants on immigration is estimated using econometric methods. The methodology also takes into account the increasing globalization and mobility as well as the expected growth of the global population which boost international migration flows (immigration and emigration). Finally, it grants more stability to the long-term migration projections and, therefore, to the population projections; the annual revisions of long-term migration will be less dependent on the short-term evolution of migration flows.

Suggested Citation

  • Marie Vandresse, 2015. "Working Paper 02-15 - Une modélisation de l’évolution future de la migration internationale pour la Belgique [Working Paper 02-15 - Modelling the future evolution of international migration for," Working Papers 201502, Federal Planning Bureau, Belgium.
    • Handle: RePEc:fpb:wpaper:201502
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    File URL: https://www.plan.be/uploaded/documents/201503201138360.WP_1502_10948.pdf
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    File URL: https://www.plan.be/uploaded/documents/201606241217270.WP_1502_10948_EN_160502.pdf
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation

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